Gunfire at Hormuz Shakes Bitcoin Bulls
Bitcoin’s price action over the weekend mirrored the geopolitical uncertainty in the Persian Gulf, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency surging to $78,000 late Friday before retreating sharply. The move came after Iran announced another closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway responsible for about 20% of global oil flows before recent hostilities. Two tanker owners reported receiving radio warnings from Iranian forces, and one supertanker aborted its transit after hearing gunfire, highlighting the real risks for both commodity and crypto markets.
By Saturday evening in Asia, bitcoin had slipped back to $76,091—still up 0.8% on the day but off its highs. Iran’s state media emphasized that the strait was under “strict management and control by the armed forces,” a direct response to a U.S. blockade targeting Iranian shipping.
On Friday alone, $381 million in bitcoin short positions were liquidated as prices spiked above $78,000.
Short Sellers Rattled by Sudden Rally
The rapid price jump on Friday triggered a wave of liquidations across crypto exchanges. According to coindesk.com, $762 million in leveraged positions were wiped out across 168,336 traders, with $593 million coming from those betting against further price increases (shorts). Bitcoin shorts alone saw $381 million erased, while ether shorts lost $167 million as prices spiked.
Funding rates on bitcoin perpetual futures turned negative during this period—meaning short sellers were paying a premium to maintain their bearish bets.
On paper, this suggests extreme caution among traders, but the reality is more complex: as prices retreated below $76,000, some began shorting again near range highs in anticipation of a broader pullback toward $68,000. Others defended against a breakout above current levels to avoid further liquidation risk.
Oil Plunges, Crypto Stays Volatile
While bitcoin’s rally faded over the weekend, oil markets moved in the opposite direction. WTI crude oil tumbled nearly 10% to $85.90 per barrel following reports from Iranian officials that the Strait of Hormuz was “completely open for all commercial vessels” during a ceasefire period. This apparent de-escalation was acknowledged by U.S. President Trump on Truth Social and provided temporary relief for energy markets.
Yet even as oil cooled off, volatility remained high across digital assets. Ether dropped 0.2% over 24 hours and solana fell 1.3%, while dogecoin slid 2.1%. Weekly performance numbers told a different story: ether gained 5.2%, XRP rose 6.4%, BNB added 4.6%, and bitcoin climbed 4.5% since March 31—underscoring how quickly sentiment can shift depending on headlines from Tehran or Washington.
See Also
Ceasefire Optimism Fades for Traders
The initial optimism around an Iran-U.S. ceasefire has started to fizzle out as traders look for concrete results beyond diplomatic statements. Negotiations to restore full oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain limited despite Axios reporting on a possible three-page plan involving the release of $20 billion in frozen Iranian funds in exchange for Iran giving up enriched uranium stockpiles.
Market volatility measures reflect this uncertainty: bitcoin and ether’s 30-day implied volatility indexes have continued to decline even as open interest in solana and dogecoin futures reached multiweek highs. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury volatility (as tracked by the MOVE index) dropped from 115% in March to just 65%, showing how crypto is now taking its cues from broader macro conditions rather than leading risk appetite.
Despite these swings, bitcoin has consistently posted higher lows since March 31 when it traded near $65,700—suggesting some underlying resilience even as traders brace for more turbulence.
Why it matters
For investors and everyday users alike, these events highlight how quickly global tensions can translate into market volatility—and not just in commodities like oil but also in digital assets such as bitcoin and ether. With over $450 million of sell orders stacked between $75,900 and $76,300 and funding rates turning negative for key cryptocurrencies, risk management is front-of-mind for both professional traders and retail participants.
U.S. stock index futures are up about 1% despite ongoing chaos in shipping lanes—a micro-contrast that shows traditional equities are not always moving in lockstep with crypto or commodities when geopolitical shocks hit.
Ultimately, whether Iran’s “strict management” of Hormuz persists or negotiations yield lasting calm remains uncertain—but recent days have shown that even brief disruptions can spark hundreds of millions in crypto liquidations and send shockwaves across interconnected global markets.
What We Learned
- •Bitcoin surged to $78,000 late Friday, triggering $762 million in liquidations across 168,336 traders, with $381 million in BTC shorts.
- •Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, responsible for 20% of global oil flows pre-war, caused a supertanker to abort transit after gunfire.
- •By Saturday evening in Asia, bitcoin had retreated to $76,091, up 0.8% on the day but below its recent high.
What may drive the next phase
If Iran maintains its closure of the Strait of Hormuz, as broadcast Saturday and confirmed by tanker owners receiving shutdown orders and reports of gunfire, immediate market focus will shift to oil price volatility and potential further liquidations in bitcoin, which saw $762 million liquidated during Friday's rally; however, whether negotiations to restore oil flows will progress remains unclear.
