ETF Outflows Fuel Steep Selloff
Bitcoin’s price tumbled through the $85,000 level and briefly touched $81,000 during U.S. trading hours on Thursday, marking one of the sharpest declines since late last year. The selloff coincided with nearly $1 billion in outflows from U.S.-listed spot bitcoin and ether ETFs in a single day. Investors pulled $817.9 million from spot bitcoin ETFs on January 29, the largest daily outflow since November 20. Ether ETFs were also hit hard, losing $155.6 million on the same day, and total ether ETF assets fell to $16.75 billion from over $18 billion earlier in the month.
Major funds were not spared: BlackRock’s IBIT saw $317.8 million redeemed, Fidelity’s FBTC lost $168 million, and Grayscale’s GBTC had another $119.4 million exit.
On paper, ETFs are designed to provide stability and easy access for investors; in practice this week, they became a channel for rapid capital flight as sentiment turned.
Liquidations Mount as Bulls Retreat
The cascade of redemptions set off a chain reaction across derivatives makrets. More than $1.7 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated within 24 hours, with 93% of these coming from long bets on rising prices. Bitcoin accounted for about $780 million of these forced liquidations, while ether contributed over $414 million. The largest single wipeout was an $80.57 million BTC-USDT position on HTX exchange.
Roughly 267,370 traders saw their positions forcibly closed as exchanges moved to cover margin shortfalls.
Long exposure dominated the pain: Hyperliquid reported $598 million in liquidations (94% long), Bybit followed with $339 million, and Binance logged $181 million—all with longs bearing the brunt. Short sellers did not escape unscathed but accounted for just $118 million in liquidations.
Volatility Surges to November Highs
As prices unraveled, volatility metrics spiked to levels not seen since November. Deribit’s bitcoin volatility index (DVOL) jumped from around 37 to above 44 during Thursday’s sell-off, signaling a sharp rise in expected price swings over the next month based on options pricing. At the same time, Wall Street’s VIX—a barometer of equity market nerves—also climbed higher.
Deribit data placed bitcoin’s implied volatility (IV) rank at 36 and IV percentile near 50, suggesting that while options traders are bracing for more turbulence ahead, outright panic has yet to take hold. Some participants are now targeting the $70,000 mark as a possible destination if selling pressure persists in coming weeks.
Dollar Strength Adds to Crypto Woes
The rout in crypto was mirrored by moves in traditional markets: silver dropped 20% from Thursday’s record high of $121 to trade at $96, while gold slid below $5,000 after falling 11% from Wednesday’s peak of $5,600.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) posted a gain of 0.57%, adding further headwinds for risk assets like bitcoin and ether as a stronger dollar tends to sap demand for alternative stores of value. Uncertainty around Federal Reserve leadership—specifically expectations that Kevin Warsh may become chairman—added another layer of caution across global markets.
As risk aversion spread, even high-flying NFT projects like Pudgy Penguins continued retail sales momentum but could not offset broader declines; the CoinDesk 20 Index is down 6.6% since January began.
Why It Matters
The synchronized drop across crypto tokens and related ETFs underscores how tightly interconnected digital assets have become with traditional financial flows and sentiment shifts. With nearly $1.8 billion erased through forced liquidations and ETF outflows topping records within a single day, many traders are rethinking leverage strategies heading into February.
It remains uncertain whether support near current levels will hold or if deeper losses toward the targeted $70,000 region will materialize soon. As reported by coindesk.com, options markets signal caution but not outright panic—yet mass unwinding of bullish bets has already changed the landscape for both retail and institutional participants this week.
The Snapshot
- •Bitcoin fell through $85,000, briefly touching $81,000 during U.S. trading hours on January 29, 2024.
- •Over $1.7 billion in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with 93% from long positions.
- •U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs saw $817.9 million in outflows on January 29, the largest daily exit since November 20.
What remains under scrutiny
If outflows from U.S.-listed spot bitcoin and ether ETFs, which totaled nearly $1 billion on Thursday, continue at this scale in the coming sessions, immediate further pressure on bitcoin’s price and additional liquidations—already at $1.68 billion in the past 24 hours—would be likely; whether ETF redemptions persist or subside remains unclear.